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Nigeria Has Potential to Produce 2.2mbpd, Says NUPRC Boss

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The Chief Executive, Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), Gbenga Komolafe says Nigeria has the potential to produce as much as 2.2 million barrels of oil per day (mbpd) up from 1.5mbpd  to 1.6mbpd it is producing currently.

The NUPRC boss disclosed this at the 8th sub-Saharan Africa International Petroleum, Exhibition and Conference (SAIPEC) on Tuesday in Lagos, Nigeria.

The annual conference is organised by the Petroleum Technology Association of Nigeria (PETAN). This year’s theme is: “The Next Steps: Accelerating African Content”.

Komolafe noted that the oil and gas in Nigeria respectively represent 30 per cent and 34 per cent respectively of the African oil and gas reserves.

He said: “Although the actual national production currently averages 1.33 million barrels of oil per day and 256 thousand barrels of condensate per day.

“The national technical production potential currently stands at 2.26 million bpd, and the current OPEC quota is 1.5 million bpd.

“Thus, the Commission is taking strategic measures to arrest some challenges confronting us in order to boost production and meet the potential.”

According to him, part of the measures by the Commission was to improve transparency in hydrocarbon measurement and accounting.

He said that the Commission engaged in collaborative work programme administration with the E & P companies and close monitoring to ensure that they meet their work programme obligations.

Komolafe said besides the hydrocarbon resources, Nigeria is also blessed with potentials for green and blue hydrogen, solar, wind, bio-mass and critical minerals for development of clean energy technologies as well as growing population predominated by young people.

He further added: “With a coastline along the Gulf of Guinea, market size of more than 200 million people projected to reach between 390 million and 440 million people in 2050, Nigeria represents hope for Africa.

“Interestingly, about 70 per cent of the Nigerian population are under 30, and 42 per cent are under the age of 15, representing a huge economic asset.

“Indeed, Nigeria’s potentials are derived from its human, natural and material resources which must be mobilised to propel her on a path of economic growth and development and for her sustainable energy future.”

While noting that the global energy landscape was currently in a state of rapid change in response to climate concerns, Komolafe said as a result of this, the oil and gas industry is experiencing crucial changes that will have significant bearing on the global energy future.

He cited the recent concluded COP28 suggestions on pathways for phasing-out fossil fuels, which were vehemently challenged by OPEC as the cartel reiterated its call for just, inclusive, equitable and balanced energy transition.

He noted that President Bola Tinubu, at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), in September 2023, underscored the need to align Africa’s transition pathway with the continent’s circumstances and overall economic pursuit.

The NUPRC helmsman said that the Agenda for Nigeria and other resource-rich developing economies is that the evolving energy dynamics must be calibrated to ensure energy justice, equity, inclusivity, and sustainability.

Furthermore, he said: “The new dynamics in the global energy arena necessitate that Nigeria, and other countries, long dependent on the exploitation of oil and gas as the mainstay of their economies, re-examine their strategy to secure a blossoming energy future while meeting the global climate goals.

“Hence, for Nigeria, the legal, governance, fiscal and regulatory frameworks provided in the Petroleum Industry Act, 2021 (PIA), amongst several objectives.

”Also, aim to promote transparency, efficiency, and innovation for sustainable development of national hydrocarbon resources as well as renewable energy investment to meet the global environmental sustainability goals.”

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